Elo ratings for the 2025 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collingwood | 1758 |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions | 1698 |
| 3 | Port Adelaide | 1589 |
| 4 | Western Bulldogs | 1583 |
| 5 | Hawthorn | 1572 |
| 6 | Gold Coast | 1571 |
| 7 | Geelong | 1554 |
| 8 | Fremantle | 1523 |
| 9 | Greater Western Sydney | 1521 |
| 10 | Carlton | 1511 |
| 11 | Essendon | 1500 |
| 12 | Adelaide | 1488 |
| 13 | St Kilda | 1456 |
| 14 | Sydney | 1432 |
| 15 | Melbourne | 1430 |
| 16 | Richmond | 1346 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 1259 |
| 18 | West Coast | 1199 |